Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge runs the bases after hitting a solo home run on May 30, 2023 in Seattle. (AP Photo/Caean Couto)

Aaron Judge established himself as one of the premier power hitters in MLB since bursting onto the scene in 2017. In his rookie season, Judge belted an impressive 52 home runs, leading the American League and setting a rookie record. He has been among the top home run hitters when healthy.

After smashing the 62-home run record in the 2022 season, Aaron Judge failed to produce the desired fireworks in the following year. An injury sidelined him for a major part of the year. Regardless, with a new season on the horizon, Judge will look to emulate another stellar season. On that note, let’s look at his home run odds.


Aaron Judge Leading Odds To Become Home Run Leader In 2024

Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge points after hitting a 2-run homer. Twitter NYY

When healthy, Aaron Judge remains a formidable presence in the batter’s box. His combination of power, plate discipline, and bat speed makes him a threat to hit home runs in any at-bat. In 2022, the slugger broke the league record by smoking 62 bombs. He surpassed Roger Maris to become the slugger with the most homers in a single MLB season. However, tables turned in 2023 owing to a toe injury. While Judge’s offensive trajectory was similar to 2022, a toe injury led to eight weeks of absence, which cost him dearly in the end. Regardless, with the new season on the brink, Judge is slated to secure glory once again.

As per Austin Mock’s MLB projection model, Judge has a 41.5% chance to become a home run leader in 2024. Aaron Judge is followed by Pete Alonso with 40.2% odds and Matt Olson at 39.00%. Of course, factors like form slumps, injury concerns, and competition will act as barriers. But Judge certainly has the talent and potential to lead MLB in home runs in a given season. Ultimately, his success in leading MLB in home runs will depend on his ability to stay healthy, perform at a high level, and outslug the formidable competition throughout the season. But the Yankees captain will count on his odds, especially after Juan Soto’s addition. He will have that cushion and security to play his natural game without worrying about repercussions. As the 2024 season inches closer, all eyes will be on Judge as he leads his team, the Yankees, to glory.

Judge-Soto Duo Expected To Produce Wonders For Yankees


The pairing of Aaron Judge and Juan Soto in the New York Yankees lineup is anticipated to yield remarkable results for the team. Both players are renowned for their prodigious power and offensive prowess. That makes them a formidable duo in the heart of the Yankees’ batting order.

That being said, a lot will depend on the duo this year. The success of Aaron Judge and Juan Soto will determine how far the New York Yankees can make it into the season. FYI, the scars of the 2023 season fallout are still fresh. And another bad season will drive the fans away. It’s a crucial juncture with respect to the Yankees’ legacy as a storied MLB franchise.

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